Vietnam Rice Annual Report 2017 & Outlook for 2018

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Vietnam Rice Annual Report 2017 & Outlook for 2018

Vietnam Market Analysis and Forecast Joint Stock Company is the leading provider of in-depth ANALYSES & FORECASTS on agro-commodity sectors. We would like to introduce Vietnam Rice Annual Report 2017 & Outlook for 2018 (scheduled to be released in Jan 2018), with detailed contents as follows:

TABLE OF CONTENTS
LIST OF FIGURES    
LIST OF TABLES    
LIST OF PHOTOS    
LIST OF BOXES    
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY    
PART 1: WORLD RICE MARKET IN 2017 & OUTLOOK FOR 2018
1. World rice production and trade in 2017    
2. World rice prices in 2017    
2.1. Export rice prices of Thailand in 2017    
2.2. Export rice prices of India in 2017    
3. Outlook on world rice market in 2018    
PART 2: RICE SUPPLY-DEMAND BALANCE OF MEKONG RIVER DELTA IN 2017 AND OUTLOOK FOR VIETNAM’S EXPORTS IN 2018    
1. Vietnam's rice production in 2017    
2. Indicators of rice supply-demand balance of Mekong River Delta in 2017    
3. Indicators of IR50404 rice supply-demand balance of Mekong River Delta in 2017    
4. Indicators of glutinous rice supply-demand balance of Mekong River Delta in 2017    
5. Indicators of Jasmine rice supply-demand balance of Mekong River Delta in 2017    
6. Indicators of Japonica rice supply-demand balance of Mekong River Delta in 2017    
7. Outlook on Vietnam’s rice exports in 2018    
PART 3: RICE EXPORTS OF VIETNAM IN 2017    
1. Export rice prices of Vietnam in 2017    
2. Rice exports through official channel    
3. Rice exports through unofficial channel    
4. Total revise rice exports    
5. Rice export markets of Vietnam    
6. Rice exports of Vietnam by rice grade and variety    
7. The Philippines tender    
8. Rice exports of Vietnam to Bangladesh    
9. Rice exports of Vietnam to Korea    
PART 4: RICE EXPORTING-IMPORTING ENTERPRISES    
1. Top exporting enterprises    
1.1. Top exporting enterprises    
1.2. Control of top rice exporting enterprises    
1.3. Changes in rank of top 10 rice exporting enterprises    
2. Top rice importing enterprises    
2.1. Top rice importing enterprises    
2.2. Control of top rice importing enterprises    
2.3. Changes in rank of top 10 rice importing enterprises    
PART 5: ANALYSIS ON RICE SECTOR STRUCTURE    
1. Rice value chain    
1.1. Farmers        
1.2. Traders        
1.3. Processing and exporting enterprises    
1.4. The Vietnam Food Assocation (VFA)    
1.5. Ministry of Industry and Trade    
1.6. Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development
1.7. Banks        
2. Swot analysis for rice sector    
2.1. Strengths    
2.2. Weaknesses    
2.3. Opportunities    
2.4. Chanllenges    
PART 10: APPENDICES    
Appendix 1: Rice vessels at Saigon port and Hai Phong port    
Appendix 2: Rice market highlights in 2017    
Appendix 3: Common definitions and terms


LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Rice prices of Thailand, 1/2012 – 12/2017 (US$/ton, FOB)
Figure 2: Rice prices of India and Pakistan, 1/2012-12/2017 (US$/ton, FOB)
Figure 3: Export 5% broken prices of Vietnam,India and Thailand by week, 1/2016-12/2017 (US$/ton, FOB)
Figure 4: Prices of raw rice and milled rice at warehouses in Kien Giang by week, 2013-2017 (VND/kg)
Figure 5: Prices of milled rice in some localities by month, 2013-2017 (VND/kg, FAS)
Figure 6: Export 5% broken prices of Vietnam, India and Thailand by week in 2017 (US$/ton, FOB)
Figure 7: Rice export volume and value of Vietnam, 2016 – 2017
Figure 8: Route of rice to be shipped to the North
Figure 9: Total revsied exports (through both official channel and unofficial channel) by month, 2016-2017 (thousand tons)
Figure 10: Total rice exports to China through both official channel and unofficial channel by month, 2016-2017 (thousand tons)
Figure 11: Rice export volume structure by market in 2016 and first 10 months of 2017
Figure 12: Rice export volume structure by rice grade/variety for the first 10 months of 2017 and 2016
Figure 13: Top 10 rice exporting enterprises by rice grade/variety for the first 10 months of 2017 (thousand tons)
Figure 14: Top 10 rice exporting enterprises by rice grade/variety in 2016 (thousand tons)
Figure 15: Top 10 rice importing enterprises by rice grade/variety for the first 10 months of 2017 (thousand tons)
Figure 16: Top 10 rice importing enterprises by rice grade/variety in 2016 (thousand tons)
Figure 17: Developments of Jasmine milled rice prices by week, 2016-2017 (FAS, VND/kg)
Figure 18: Exports of fragrant rice by month, 2016-2017 (thousand tons)
Figure 19: Exports of Jasmine by month, 2016-2017 (thousand tons)
Figure 20: Exports of OM 4900 by month, 2016-2017 (thousand tons)
Figure 21: Exports of KDM by month, 2016-2017 (thousand tons)
Figure 22: Exports of fragrant broken rice by month, 2016-2017 (thousand tons)
Figure 23: Fragrant rice export structure by variety in 2016 and first 10 months of 2017
Figure 24: Prices of three biggest Jasmine rice export contracts, 2016-2017 (US$/ton, FOB)
Figure 25: Prices of three biggest OM 4900 rice export contracts, 2016-2017 (US$/ton, FOB)
Figure 26: Prices of three biggest KDM rice export contracts, 2016-2017 (US$/ton, FOB)
Figure 27: Prices of glutinous rice at warehouses in Long An by week, 2016-2017 (VND/kg)
Figure 28: Glutinous rice exports by month, 2016-2017 (thousand tons)
Figure 29: Glutinous rice exports to China by month, 2016-2017 (thousand tons)
Figure 30: Top 10 glutinous rice export markets of Vietnam for the first 10 months of 2017 (ton)
Figure 31: Top 10 glutinous rice export markets of Vietnam in 2016 (ton)
Figure 32: Prices of three biggest 10% broken glutinous rice export contracts, 2016-2017 (US$/ton, FOB)
Figure 33: Gray trade rice value chain
Figure 34: Time of fresh paddies (on field) transported to Northern border gates (day)
Figure 35: Map on Hai Phong port cluster
Figure 36: Rice value chain
Figure 37: Rice volume loaded onto vessels at Saigon port by month, 2016-2017 (thousand tons)


LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Global rice production and trade, 2012 – 2018 (million tons)
Table 2: USDA’s 2017-November forecast on 2017 and 2018 rice exports (million tons)
Table 3: USDA’s 2017-November forecast on 2017 and 2018 rice imports (million tons)
Table 4: Indicators of rice supply-demand balance in 2017 (thousand tons)
Table 5: Indicators of rice supply-demand balance in 2016 (thousand tons)
Table 6: Indicators of rice supply-demand balance in 2017 and compared to 2016 (thousand tons)
Table 7: Paddy production by crop season in 2017 and compared to 2016 (thousand tons)
Table 8: Rice supply-demand balance of Mekong River Delta in 2017
Table 9: Indicators of rice supply-demand balance of Mekong River Delta in 2017
Table 10: Tenth-month rice production by year, 2015-2018
Table 11: Comparing fragrant rice area and production in 2017 and 2018
Table 12: Comparing glutinous rice area and production in 2017 and 2018
Table 13: Indicators of rice supply-demand balance of Mekong River Delta in 2018 and compared to 2017 (thousand tons)
Table 14: Rice supply-demand balance of Mekong River Delta for the first 6 months of 2018
Table 15: Rice supply-demand balance of Mekong River Delta for 2018 as a whole by quarter
Table 16: Rice production in Mekong River Delta provinces in 2017
Table 17: Projection on 2017/18 winter-spring rice production in Mekong River Delta
Table 18: Rice harvesting/planting progress of Mekong River Delta in 2017
Table 19: Rice harvesting/planting progress of Mekong River Delta in 2016
Table 20: Plan on Vietnam rice production by crop season in 2018
Table 21: Plan on Vietnam rice production in 2018
Table 22: Prices of some 5% broken milled rice export contracts in 2017 (FOB)
Table 23: Prices of some 10% broken milled rice export contracts in 2017 (FOB)
Table 24: Prices of some 15% broken milled rice export contracts in 2017 (FOB)
Table 25: Prices of some 25% broken milled rice export contracts in 2017 (FOB)
Table 26: Prices of some 100% broken milled rice export contracts in 2017 (FOB)
Table 27: Prices of some fragrant rice export contracts in 2017 (FOB)
Table 28: Prices of some fragrant broken rice export contracts in 2017 (FOB)
Table 29: Prices of some glutinous rice export contracts in 2017 (FOB)
Table 30: Prices of some parboiled rice export contracts in 2017 (FOB)
Table 31: Prices of some Japanese rice export contracts in 2017 (FOB)
Table 32: Rice stocks and rice volume in registered export contracts in 2017 (thousand tons)
Table 33: Rice stocks and rice volume in registered export contracts in 2016 (thousand tons)
Table 34: Rice exports by month, 2014-2017 (thousand tons)
Table 35: Update on indicators for rice exports on November 10, 2016 (thousand tons)
Table 36: Rice exports through unofficial channel by quarter in 2017 and compared to 2016 (thousand tons)
Table 37: Rice exports through unofficial channel in 2017 (thousand tons)
Table 38: Total revised rice exports by month in 2017 (thousand tons)
Table 39: Rice exports through unofficial channel in 2016 and 2017 (thousand tons)
Table 40: Rice production and exports of Vietnam, 2016 – 2017 (million tons)
Table 41: AgroMonitor’s forecast on 2017 rice exports of Vietnam (million tons)
Table 42: Rice exports to Vietnam’s major markets,  2016 – 2017 (Estimate from USDA and General Department of Vietnam Customs, thousand tons)
Table 43: Changes in rank of top 10 export markets, 2016 – 2017
Table 44: Rice exports to other markets for the first 10 months of 2017 (ton)
Table 45: Rice exports to other markets in 2016 (ton)
Table 46: Rice exports to continents for the first 10 months of 2017 (ton)
Table 47: Rice exports to continents in 2016 (ton)
Table 48: Top 20 export markets by rice grade/variety for the first 10 months of 2017
Table 49: Rice exports of Vietnam by rice grade/variety for the first 10 months of 2017 (ton)
Table 50: Rice exports of Vietnam by rice grade/variety in 2016 (ton)
Table 51: Export share of top 10 enterprises in volume in 2017 and first 10 months of 2017 (ton)
Table 52: Ranks of top rice exporting enterprises in volume in 2016 and first 10 months of 2016
Table 53: Volume share of top 10 rice importing enterprises in 2016 and first 10 months of 2017 (ton)
Table 54: Ranks of top rice importing enterprises in volume in 2016 and first 10 months of 2017
Table 55: Top 20 markets importing fragrant rice by variety for the first 10 months of 2017 (ton)
Table 56: Exports of fragrant rice to China by month in 2017 (ton)
Table 57: Exports of fragrant rice to Ghana by month in 2017 (ton)
Table 58: Top 10 markets importing fragrant broken rice in 2016 and first 10 months of 2017
Table 59: Top 10 fragrant rice exporting enterprises for the first 10 months of 2017
Table 60: Top 10 fragrant rice exporting enterprises in 2016
Table 61: Top 10 fragrant rice importing enterprises for the first 10 months of 2017
Table 62: Top 10 fragrant rice importing enterprises in 2016
Table 63: Estimate on 2017 glutinous rice production
Table 64: Forecast on 2018 glutinous rice production
Table 65: Top 10 glutinous rice exporting enterprises for the first 10 months of 2017
Table 66: Top 10 glutinous rice exporting enterprises in 2016
Table 67: Top 10 glutinous rice importing enterprises for the first 10 months of 2017
Table 68: Top 10 glutinous rice importing enterprises in 2016
Table 69: Costs and profits of traders in 2016/17 winter-spring crop (VND)
Table 70: Costs and profits of rice mills in 2016/17 winter-spring crop (VND)
Table 711: Costs and profits of warehouse owners in 2016/17 winter-spring crop (VND)
Table 72: Costs and profits of traders in Hai Phong in 2016/17 winter-spring crop (VND)
Table 73: Costs and profits of traders at the border area in 2016/17 winter-spring crop (VND)
Table 74: Rice volume (vessel, bulk) shipped to Hai Phong by year (ton)
Table 75: Costs and profits of enterprises exporting 5% broken white rice in 2016/17 winter-spring crop (VND)
Table 76: Comparing prices of some rice varieties at Ba Da market, Sa Dec and warehouses on the export channel
Table 77: Costs of profits of traders on the domestic channel in 2016/17 winter-spring rice crop (VND)
Table 78: Costs and profits of rice mills on the domestic rice channel in 2016/17 winter-spring rice crop (VND)
Table 79: Costs and profits of rice wholesalers at Ba Dac market in 2016/17 winter-spring (VND)
Table 80: Costs and profits of first-class agents in Southeast in 2016/17 winter-spring crop (VND)
Table 81: Costs and profits of first-class agents in Southeast in 2016/17 winter-spring crop (VND)
Table 82: Rice volume (vessel) shipped to Hai Phong port by month in 2017 (thousand tons)
Table 83: Rice volume (vessel) shipped to Hai Phong port by month in 2016 (thousand tons)
Table 84: Rice volume loaded onto vessels at Saigon port to depart for other markets by month in 2017 (ton)
Table 85: Rice volume loaded at Saigon port to be exported to other markets by owner in 2017 (thousand tons)
Table 86: Rice volume loaded at Saigon port to be exported to other markets by owner in 2016 (thousand tons)

 

 

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