Vietnam Livestock and Poultry Annual Report 2019 & Outlook for 2020
 

Vietnam Livestock and Poultry Annual Report 2019 & Outlook for 2020

Vietnam Market Analysis and Forecast Joint Stock Company is the leading provider of in-depth ANALYSES & FORECASTS on agro-commodity sectors. We would like to introduce Vietnam Livestock and Poultry Annual Report 2019 & Outlook for 2020 (scheduled to be released in Mar 2020), with detailed contents as follows:

TABLE OF CONTENTS
LIST OF TABLES IN THE REPORT 7
LIST OF FIGURES IN THE REPORT 8
 
A. WORLD AND VIETNAM HUSBANDRY AND MEAT VALUE CHAIN 13
 
B. VIETNAM AND WORLD PORK MARKET 17
I. World pork market 17
1. World pork production and consumption 17
1.1. Overview 17
1.2. China 20
1.3. The United States 23
1.4. Brazil 24
1.5. Europe 24
2. World pork trade 26
3. Prices 30
 
II. Vietnam pork market 32
1. Vietnam pork production 32
1.1. Total number of sows and porkers of Vietnam in 2019 32
2. Vietnam pork consumption 36
3. Vietnam pork trade 37
3.1. Imports 37
3.1.1. Hog imports 37
3.1.2. Imports of pork/processed pork 38
3.2. Exports 41
3.2.1. Hog exports cross-border 41
3.2.2. Pork exports via official channel 42
4. Vietnam’s pork supply-demand balance in 2019 43
5. Pork prices 43
 
III. Outlook on Vietnam and world pork market in 2020 46
 
C. WORLD AND VIETNAM CHICKEN MARKET 53
I. World chicken market 53
1. World chicken production and consumption 53
2. World chicken trade 55
 
II. Vietnam chicken market 59
1. Chicken farming of Vietnam in 2018 59
1.1. Broilers 59
1.2. Layers 62
2. Vietnam chicken consumption 63
3. Vietnam chicken trade 63
3.1.1 Imports of poultry meat 63
3.1.2. Exports of poultry meat 67
4. Chicken prices in 2019 68
4.1. Prices of three-color chicken 68
4.2. Prices of white chicken 69
5. Duck farming in Vietnam 70
6. Chicken value chain in Vietnam 72
 
IV. Outlook on Vietnam and world chicken market in 2020 73
 
D. WORLD AND VIETNAM BEEF MARKET 75
I. Work beef market 75
1. World beef production and consumption in 2019 75
 
II. Vietnam beef market 79
1. Vietnam beef production 79
2. Vietnam beef trade 80
2.1. Cow imports by seaway and cross border 80
2.2.  Imports of fresh/frozen/chilled buffalo meat/beef 81
3. Export of buffaloes/cows and buffalo meat/beef cross-border 82
 
III. Outlook on Vietnam and world beef market in 2020 83
LIST OF TABLES IN THE REPORT
Table 1: List of countries hit by African swine fever as of late December 2012 18
Table 2: Pork exports of Brazil by market, 2018-2019 (thousand tons, %) 28
Table 3: Pork exports of the United States by market, 2018-2019 (thousand tons, %) 29
Table 4: Pork exports of EU by market, 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 29
Table 5: Pork supply-demand balance of Vietnam, 2017-2018 (thousand tons of carcass weight equivalent) 43
Table 6: List of 24 countries eligible to export meat and meat products to Vietnam 52
Table 7: World top 10 broiler producing markets, 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 53
Table 8: World top 10 chicken consumer markets , 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 54
Table 9: World top 10 chicken export markets, 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 55
Table 10: Chicken exports of Brazil by market, 11M2018-11M2019 (thousand tons) 56
Table 11: Chicken exports of the US to other markets, 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 57
Table 12: Number of day-old chicks – white broilers launched into the market of the two regions, the South and the North, 2017-2019 (head) 61
Table 13: White broiler sales in 2019 (ton) 61
Table 14: Number of day-old chicks – colored broilers launched into the market of the two regions, the South and the North, 2017-2019 (head) 62
Table 15: Colored broiler sales in 2019 (ton) 62
Table 16: World top 10 beef/veal producing markets, 2018-2019 (thousand tons of carcass weight equivalent - CWE) 75
Table 17: World top 10 beef/veal consumer markets , 2018-2019 (thousand tons of carcass – CWE) 77
Table 18: Total buffalo/cow herd of Vietnam, 2017-2018-2019 (head) 79
Table 19: Cow and buffalo herd and off-take live weight by economic zone in 2018 (head, ton) 79
Table 20: Total cow herd by area/region, 2017-2018 (head) 80
Table 21: Buffalo meat/beef exports of Brazil by market, 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 85
LIST OF FIGURES IN THE REPORT
Figure 1: World meat production shares, 2018-2019 (%) 14
Figure 2: World meat production by type, 2018-2019 (thousand tons of carcass) 15
Figure 3: World meat consumption by type, 2018-2019 (thousand tons of carcass) 15
Figure 4: World meat trade, 2018-2019 (thousand tons of carcass) 16
Figure 5: World pork production, 2011-2019 (thousand tons of carcass) 17
Figure 6: World top 10 pork producing markets, 2017-2018 (thousand tons of carcass weight equivalent - CWE) 18
Figure 7: Market share of world top 10 pork producing markets in 2018 (%) 19
Figure 8: Market share of world top 10 pork producing markets in 2019 (%) 19
Figure 9: Correlation between world pork production and consumption, 2011-2019 (thousand tons of carcass weight equivalent) 20
Figure 10: Pork production of China, 2011-2019 (thousand tons) 21
Figure 11: Number of cases detected to be hit by African swine fever in China by region, 2018-2019 21
Figure 12: Changes in total hog herds of China, 2018-2019 (%) 22
Figure 13: Changes in sow herds of China, 2018-2019 (%) 22
Figure 14: Difference between pork production and pork consumption of China, 2011-2019 (thousand tons) 23
Figure 15: Pork production of the US and its share out of world pork production, 2015-2019 (thousand tons, %) 23
Figure 16: Number of hogs slaughtered in the US by month, 2018-2019 (million heads) 24
Figure 17: Pork production and consumption of Brazil, 2015-2019 (thousand tons) 24
Figure 18: Pork production and consumption of EU, 2015-2019 (thousand tons) 25
Figure 19: Pork production surplus of the United States, Europe and Brazil, 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 25
Figure 20: Hog production share of countries in Europe, 2018-2019 (%) 26
Figure 21: Slaughtered hog production of EU by month, 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 26
Figure 22: Pork exports-imports of some major countries in the world in 2019 (thousand tons of carcass weight equivalent – CWE) 27
Figure 23: Share of major pork exporting countries in 2019 (%) 27
Figure 24: Pork exports of Brazil, 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 28
Figure 25: Share of pork importing countries in 2019 (%) 30
Figure 26: Pork imports of China, 2016-2019 (thousand tons) 30
Figure 27: Hog prices in China, 2017-2019 (CNY/kg) 31
Figure 28: Average prices of hog carcass group E in Europe, 2016-2019 (Euro/kg) 31
Figure 29: Average prices of hog carcass group E for the first 11 months of 2019 of some major producing countries in Europe (Euro/kg) 32
Figure 30: Hog prices paid to producers in the US, 2018-2019 (US$/kg) 32
Figure 31: Vietnam’s sow herds, 2017-2019 (thousand heads) 33
Figure 32: Number of hogs culled of Vietnam due to African swine fever (head) 34
Figure 33: Number of hogs culled of Vietnam by region as of October 10, 2019 (head) 35
Figure 34: Number of off-take porkers of the North in 2019 (head) 35
Figure 35: Number of off-take porkers of the South in 2019 (head) 36
Figure 36: Pork consumption of Vietnam, 2015-2019 (thousand tons of carcass) 36
Figure 37: Hog imports of Vietnam, 2016-10M2019 (head) 38
Figure 38: Hog imports of by month, 2016-2019 (head) 38
Figure 39: Pork imports of Vietnam, 2017-2018 and 10M2019 (thousand tons) 39
Figure 40: Pork imports of Vietnam by month, 2018-2019 (ton) 39
Figure 41: Pork imports of Vietnam by type in 2018 (%) 40
Figure 42: Pork imports of Vietnam by type for the first 10 months of 2019 (%) 40
Figure 43: Pork imports of Vietnam by market in 2018 (%) 40
Figure 44: Pork imports of Vietnam by market for the first 10 months of 2019 (%) 41
Figure 45: Number of hogs exported through Northern border gates and Southern border gates by week, 2017-2019 (head) 41
Figure 46: Pork exports of Vietnam, 2017-2018 and first 10 months of 2019 (million US$) 42
Figure 47: Pork exports of Vietnam by month, 2018-2019 (million US$) 42
Figure 48: Pork export share of Vietnam by market for the first 10 months of 2019 (%) 43
Figure 49: Hog prices in the North and the South of Vietnam, 2009-2019 (VND/kg) 44
Figure 50: Prices of Brazilian frozen pork imported to Vietnam ports, 2018-2019 (US$/kg, CIF) 46
Figure 51: Hog production of some major producing countries in the world in 2020 (thousand tons) 47
Figure 52: Correlation in world pork production and consumption in 2020 (thousand tons) 47
Figure 53: Pork supply deficit of China in 2020 (thousand tons) 48
Figure 54: Pork imports of China, 2015-2020 (thousand tons) 48
Figure 55: Increase/decrease in sow herds of Vietnam, 2018-2019 (head) 49
Figure 56: Number of off-take porkers in the North and the South in 2020 (head) 49
Figure 57: Pork import tariff of Vietnam 51
Figure 58: Hog prices of Thailand, 2016-2019 (Baht/kg) 51
Figure 59: Share of world top 10 broiler producing markets in 2019 (%) 53
Figure 60: Share of world top 10 chicken consumer markets  in 2019 (%) 54
Figure 61: Correlation in world chicken production and consumption, 2016-2019 (thousand tons) 55
Figure 62: Chicken exports of Brazil by month, 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 56
Figure 63: Chicken exports of Thailand to China, 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 57
Figure 64: Prices of white chicken in Thailand, 2017-2019 (Baht/kg) 58
Figure 65: World chicken exports-imports, 2016-2019 (thousand tons) 58
Figure 66: World top 10 chicken importing markets, 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 59
Figure 67: Imports of parent chicken to Vietnam, 2016-2019 (thousand heads) 60
Figure 68: Imports of parent color chicken to the North and the South, 2016-2019 (thousand heads) 60
Figure 69: Imports of parent white chicken to the North and the South, 2016-2019 (thousand heads) 61
Figure 70: Imports of parent layers, 2016-2019 (head) 63
Figure 71: Poultry meat imports of Vietnam, 2012-2019 (ton) 64
Figure 72: Poultry meat imports of Vietnam, 2017-10/2019 (million US$) 64
Figure 73: Chicken imports of Vietnam, 2016-10/2019 (thousand tons) 65
Figure 74: Chicken imports of Vietnam by month, 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 65
Figure 75: Vietnam’s chicken imports by type for the first 10 months of 2019 66
Figure 76: Share of largest chicken exporters to Vietnam in 2018 (%) 66
Figure 77: Share of largest chicken exporters to Vietnam for the first 10 months of 2019 (%) 67
Figure 78: Poultry meat exports of Vietnam, 2017-2019 (million US$) 67
Figure 79: Poultry meat exports of Vietnam by month, 2018-2019 (million US$) 68
Figure 80: Poultry meat exports of Vietnam by market for the first 10 months of 2019 (%) 68
Figure 81: Prices of three-color chicken at farms in the South and the North, 10/2016-10/2019 (VND/kg) 69
Figure 82: Prices of white chicken at farms in the South and the North, 10/2016-10/2019 (VND/kg) 70
Figure 83: Imports of parent super-meat ducks to Vietnam, 2016-2019 (head) 71
Figure 84: World broiler meat production and consumption, 2015-2020 (thousand tons) 73
Figure 85: Broiler meat production of major markets in 2020 (thousand tons) 73
Figure 86: Number of day-old chicks - white broilers launched into the market of the North in 2020 (head) 74
Figure 87: Number of day-old chicks - white broilers launched into the market of the South in 2020 (head) 74
Figure 88: Share of world top 10 beef/veal producing markets in 2019 (%) 76
Figure 89: Correlation in world beef/veal production and consumption, 2016-2019 (thousand tons of carcass weight equivalent) 76
Figure 90: World beef/veal imports-exports, 2016-2019 (thousand tons of carcass weight equivalent) 78
Figure 91: World top 5 beef/veal importers/exporters, 2018-2019 (thousand tons of carcass weight equivalent) 78
Figure 92: Imports of buffaloes/cows of Vietnam, 2012-10/2019 (head) 80
Figure 93: Cow imports of Vietnam from markets, 2012-10/2019 (head) 81
Figure 94: Imports of fresh/frozen/chilled buffalo meat/beef of Vietnam, 2012-10/2019 (ton) 81
Figure 95: Buffalo meat/beef import value of Vietnam by month, 2016-10/2019 (million US$) 81
Figure 96: Buffalo meat/beef imports of China, 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 82
Figure 97: World beef/veal production and consumption, 2015-2020 (thousand tons) 84
Figure 98: Buffalo meat/beef exports of Brazil, 2018-2019 (thousand tons) 84
 
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