Vietnam Fertilizer Annual Report 2019 & Outlook for 2020
 

Vietnam Fertilizer Annual Report 2019 & Outlook for 2020

Vietnam Market Analysis and Forecast Joint Stock Company is the leading provider of in-depth ANALYSES & FORECASTS on agro-commodity sectors. We would like to introduce Vietnam Fertilizer Annual Report 2019 & Outlook for 2020 (scheduled to be released in Mar 2020), with detailed contents as follows:

TABLE CONTENTS
LIST OF FIGURES
LIST OF TABLES
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
 
PART 1: WORLD AND VIETNAM AGRO-COMMODITY MARKETS IN 2019 AND OUTLOOK FOR 2020
I. World agro-commodity market in 2019
II. Vietnam agro-commodity market
1. Prices of some agro-commodities
2. Overview of fertilizer demand for agriculture of Vietnam in 2019 and outlook for 2020
 
PART 2: FERTILIZER TRADE MEASURES IN 2019 AND DUTY POLICIES OF CHINA FOR 2020
I. Fertilizer import-export duty policies of China in 2019 and outlook for 2020
1. Fertilizer export duties of China in 2020
2. Fertilizer import duties of China in 2020
3. Value-added tax for fertilizers of China
II. Tax policies for fertilizers of Vietnam
1. Fertilizer import duties of Vietnam in 2020
2. Preferential import duties for fertilizers to implement CPTPP Agreement in 2019-2022
3. Official safeguard duty for imported DAP/MAP fertilizers
4. VAT of Vietnam
 
PART 3: FERTILIZER DEMAND FOR RICE IN MEKONG RIVER DELTA
1. Fertilizer demand for winter-spring crop season in the Mekong River Delta in 2019-2020
2. Fertilizer demand for fall-winter crop season in the Mekong River Delta in 2019
3. Fertilizer demand for summer-fall crop season in the Mekong River Delta in 2019
 
PART 4: OVERVIEW OF WORLD FERTILIZER MAKRET AND OUTLOOK FOR 2020
I. World fertilizer supply and demand in 2019 and outlook for 2020
1. World fertilizer supply and demand in 2019
2. Outlook on world fertilizer market in 2019-2024
2.1. Outlook on nitrogen market in 2020
2.2. Outlook on phosphate market in 2020
2.3. Outlook on potash market in 2020
 
PART 5: FERTILIZER PRODUCTION-CONSUMPTION-INVENTORIES OF VIETNAM
I. Vietnam's fertilizer output in 2019
II. Fertilizer production and consumption indexes in 2019
 
PART 6: FERTILIZER IMPORTS AND IMPORTING ENTERPRISES OF VIETNAM
I. Fertilizer imports of Vietnam
1. Total fertilizer imports of Vietnam in 2019
2. Fertilizer imports by type in 2019
II. Fertilizer imports by market in 2019
1. Fertilizer import structure of Vietnam by market in 2019
2. Dominant share of top 10 fertilizer exporting markets to 2019
3. Changes in positions of top 10 fertilizer import markets in 2019
4. Fertilizer imports from key markets in 2019
4.1. Fertilizer imports from China in 2019
4.1.1. Fertilizer import volume and value from China in 2019
4.1.2. Fertilizer imports from China by type in 2019
4.2. Fertilizer imports from Russian Federation in 2019
4.2.1. Fertilizer import volume and value from Russian Federation in 2019
4.2.2. Fertilizer imports from Russian Federation by type in 2019
III. Fertilizer importing enterprises of Vietnam in 2019
1. Quantity of enterprises importing fertilizers in 2016
2. Dominant share of top 10 fertilizer importing enterprises in 2019
3. Changes in positions of top 10 fertilizer importing enterprises in 2019
 
PART 7: EXPORTS AND FERTILIZER EXPORTING ENTERPRISES OF VIETNAM IN 2019
I. Total fertilizer export volume and value of Vietnam in 2019
1. Temporarily imported for re-exports
2. Exports of domestically-produced fertilizers
2.1. Vietnam's fertilizer exports by type
2.2. Vietnam's fertilizer exports of by market
2.3. Fertilizer exporting enterprises of Vietnam in 2019
2.3.1. Quantity of enterprises exporting fertilizers in 2019
2.3.2. Dominant share of top 10 fertilizer exporting enterprises
2.3.3. Changes in positions of top 10 fertilizer exporting enterprises in 2019
 
PART 8: WORLD, CHINA AND VIETNAM UREA MARKETS AND OUTLOOK
PART 8.1: WORLD UREA SUPPLY-DEMAND-PRICE IN 2019
PART 8.2: CHINA UREA SUPPLY-DEMAND-PRICE IN 2019
I. Urea production, exports and imports of China in 2019
II. Domestic and export urea prices of China in 2019 
1. Domestic urea prices of China in 2019
2. Export urea prices of China in 2019
 
PART 8.3: VIETNAM UREA MARKET Urea supply-demand-enterprise-price of Vietnam in 2019 and outlook for 2020
I. Vietnam urea supply-demand
1. Urea supply-demand of Vietnam in 2019 
2. Forecast on urea supply-demand of Vietnam in 2020 
II. Vietnam's urea production in 2019
III. Urea importing and importing enterprises of Vietnam
1. Total urea import volume and value of Vietnam in 2019
2. Top 10 urea importing enterprises of Vietnam in 2019 
3. Urea import markets in 2019
IV. Urea exports and exporting enterprises of Vietnam
1. Total urea export volume and value of Vietnam in 2019
2. Top 10 urea exporting enterprises
3. Urea export markets of Vietnam
V. Import, export and transaction urea prices in domestic market of Vietnam
1. Import urea prices
2. Urea transaction prices in domestic market in 2019
3. Export urea price
 
PART 9: WORLD, CHINA AND VIETNAM DAP MARKETS AND OUTLOOK
PART 9.1: WORLD DAP SUPPLY-DEMAND-PRICE IN 2019
PART 9.2: CHINA DAP SUPPLY-DEMAND-PRICE IN 2019
I. DAP production and exports of China
II. Domestic and export DAP prices of China
1. Domestic DAP prices of China in 2019
2. Export DAP prices of China in 2019
PART 9.3: VIETNAM DAP MARKET: DAP supply-demand-enterprise-price of Vietnam in 2019 and outlook for 2020
I. Vietnam DAP supply-demand
1. DAP supply-demand of Vietnam in 2019 
2. Forecast on DAP supply-demand of Vietnam in 2020 
II. DAP production of Vietnam
III. DAP importing and importing enterprises of Vietnam in 2019
1. Total DAP imports of Vietnam in 2019
2. Top 10 DAP importing enterprises of Vietnam in 2019
3. DAP import markets in 2019
IV. DAP exports and exporting enterprises of Vietnam
1. DAP exports of Vietnam in 2019
2. Top 10 DAP exporting enterprises
3. DAP export markets of Vietnam
V. Import, export and transaction DAP prices in domestic market of Vietnam
1. Import DAP prices
2. DAP transaction prices in domestic market in 2019
3. Export DAP prices
 
PART 10: VIETNAM NKP MARKET: NPK supply-demand-enterprise-price of Vietnam in 2019 and outlook for 2020
I. Vietnam NPK supply-demand
1. NPK supply-demand of Vietnam in 2019
2. Forecast on NPK supply-demand of Vietnam in 2020 
II. NPK production of Vietnam
III. NPK importing and importing enterprises of Vietnam
1. Total NPK imports of Vietnam in 2019
2. Top 10 NPK importing enterprises of Vietnam in 2019
3. NPK import markets in 2019
IV. NPK exports and exporting enterprises of Vietnam
1. NPK exports of Vietnam in 2019
2. Top 10 NPK exporting enterprises
3. NPK export markets of Vietnam
V. Import, export and transaction NPK prices in domestic market of Vietnam
1. Import NPK prices
2. NPK prices in domestic markets in 2019
3. Export NPK prices
 
PART 11: WORLD, CHINA AND VIETNAM POTASH MARKETS AND OUTLOOK
PART 11.1: WORLD POTASH SUPPLY-DEMAND-PRICE IN 2019
PART 11.2: CHINA POTASH SUPPLY-DEMAND-PRICE IN 2019
I. Potassium chloride production and exports of China in 2019
II. Domestic potash prices of China in 2019
PART 11.3: VIETNAM POTASH MARKET: Potash enterprises-price of Vietnam in 2019 and outlook for 2020
I. Potash importing and importing enterprises of Vietnam
1. Total potash import volume and value of Vietnam in 2019
2. Top 10 potash importing enterprises of Vietnam in 2019
3. Potash import markets
II. Potash exports and exporting enterprises of Vietnam
1. Total potash imports value of Vietnam in 2019
2. Top 10 Potash exporting enterprises
3. Potash import markets
III. Import, export and transaction potash prices in domestic market of Vietnam
1. Import potash prices of Vietnam in 2019
2. Potash transaction prices in domestic market in 2019
3. Export potash prices of Vietnam
 
PART 12: VIETNAM SA MARKET: SA enterprises-price of Vietnam in 2019 and outlook for 2020
I. Total SA import volume and value of Vietnam in 2019
II. Top 10 SA importing enterprises of Vietnam in 2019
III. SA import markets in 2019
IV. Correlation of import and domestic SA prices of Vietnam
1. Import SA prices in 2019
2. SA prices in domestic markets in 2019
 
PART 13: UPDATES ON POLICIES OF FERTILIZER INDUSTRY IN 2019
 
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: World agro-commodity index, 2016 – 2030 (2010 = 100)
Figure 2: Average Brent IPE oil prices, $/barrel, 2016-2030
Figure 3: Urea prices (E Europe, Bulk, FOB), 2016 –2018 and forecast by 2030 ($/mt)
Figure 4: World phosphate prices, 2016 –2018 and forecast for 2030, ($/mt)
Figure 5: Potassium chloride prices (Spot, Vancouver, FOB), 2016 –2018 and forecast by 2030 ($/mt)
Figure 6: Periods for changing VAT policies for fertilizers in Vietnam, 2014-2019
Figure 7: Prices of dry cashew sold to plants in Binh Phuoc, 2017-2019 (VND/kg)
Figure 8: Unclassified black pepper procurement prices in Gia Lai and Vung Tau, 2018-2019 (thousand VND/kg)
Figure 9: Prices of fresh paddies in Mekong River Delta in 2018-2019, VND/kg:
Figure 10: Price movements of some types of latex in the Southeastern Region and Central Highlands, Jan 2018 - Jun 2019, VND/kg
Figure 11: Rice prices in Vietnam, 2018-2019, VND/kg
Figure 12: Fertilizer production of Vietnam, Jan 2018 - Jun 2019 (thousand mt)
Figure 13: Fertilizer imports of Vietnam, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 14: Fertilizer import structure of Vietnam by type in 2019 and changes vs. 2018, (%)
Figure 15: Fertilizer import market structure of Vietnam by volume in 2019 and 2018, (%)
Figure 16: Fertilizer import volume and value of Vietnam from China, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 17: Fertilizer import volume structure from China by type in 2019, (%)
Figure 18: Fertilizer import volume and value of Vietnam from Russian Federation, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 19: Fertilizer import volume from Russian Federation by month, Jan 2018 – Dec 2019, (mt)
Figure 20: Urea imports of top 10 enterprises in 2019 compared to 2018, (thousand mt)
Figure 21: Urea import shares of top 10 enterprises in 2019, (%)
Figure 22: DAP import shares of top 10 enterprises in 2019, (%)
Figure 23: Potash import shares of top 10 enterprises in 2019, (%)
Figure 24: SA import shares of top 10 enterprises in 2019, (%)
Figure 25: NPK import shares of top 10 enterprises in 2019, (%)
Figure 26: Fertilizer exports of Vietnam, Jan 2018 - Nov 2019
Figure 27: Fertilizer export volume structure by type in 2019 and 2018, (%)
Figure 28: Average urea prices by month in some regions, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019, ($/mt, FOB)
Figure 29: Prices and winning volume of urea in urea import tenders of India in 2018-2019
Figure 30: Comparison on daily urea production capacity of China in 2018-2019
Figure 31: Comparison on total monthly urea production of China in 2018-2019
Figure 32: Urea exports of China, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 33: Urea imports of China in 2017-2018-2019, mt
Figure 34: Comparison on average domestic urea prices of China in 2018-2019, CNY/mt
Figure 35: Export prilled/granular urea prices at plants in China, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019, ($/mt FOB)
Figure 36: Urea production of Vietnam (Vinachem+PVCCo), Jan 2018 – Dec 2019, (thousand mt)
Figure 37: Urea imports, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 38: Shares of urea export markets to Vietnam in 2019 and 2018, (%)
Figure 39: Urea import volume from China, Indonesia and Malaysia, Jan 2018 – Dec 2019, (thousand mt)
Figure 40: Urea exports, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 41: Prices of Ca Mau urea orders in 2018-2019, VND/kg
Figure 42: Prices of offers of Phu My urea at transshipping warehouses in Mekong River Delta in 2018-2019, VND/kg.
Figure 43: Import urea prices in Vietnam and urea prices at district 7 of Saigon (TXS) in 2018-2019
Figure 44: DAP prices in some regions, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019 ($/mt, FOB)
Figure 45: Comparison on DAP manufacture of China in first 6 months in 2017-2019
Figure 46: Comparison on DAP production capacity of China in 2017-2019, %
Figure 47: DAP exports of China, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 48: Chart of cost-profit of DAP production of China in Mar-Jun 2019
Figure 49: Comparison on wholesale DAP prices of China in 2017-2019, %
Figure 50: Comparison on export DAP prices of China in 2018 and 2019, ($/mt FOB)
Figure 51: DAP production of Vinachem, Jan 2018 – Dec 2019, (thousand mt)
Figure 52: DAP imports of Vietnam by month, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 53: Shares of DAP export markets to Vietnam in 2019 and 2018, (%)
Figure 54: DAP import volume from China, Korea Republic and Russian Federation, Jan 2018 – Dec 2019, (thousand mt)
Figure 55: DAP exports of Vietnam, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 56: Average prices of Chinese DAP imported through Lao Cai border gate and Lao Cai railway station in 2018-2019, $/mt DAP
Figure 57: DAP prices at district 7, Saigon, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019, (VND/kg)
Figure 58: MOP prices in some regions, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019 ($/mt, C&F)
Figure 59: Comparison on MOP production of China in 2018-2019
Figure 60: Potash imports of China, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 61: MOP prices of China in 2018-2019, CNY/mt:
Figure 62: Potash imports by month, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 63: Shares of potash export markets to Vietnam in 2019 vs. 2018, (%)
Figure 64: Potash import volume from Lithuania, Canada and Russian Federation, Jan 2018 – Dec 2019, (thousand mt)
Figure 65: Potash exports of Vietnam, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 66: Comparison on potash volume imported to Vietnam in 2018-2019, mt
Figure 67: Prices of some types of potash at district 7 - Saigon, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019 (VND/kg)
Figure 68: NPK production of Vietnam, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019 (thousand mt)
Figure 69: NPK export of Vietnam, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 70: Shares of NPK export markets to Vietnam in 2019 vs. 2018, (%)
Figure 71: NPK import volume from Russian Federation, China and Korea Republic, Jan 2018 – Dec 2019, (thousand mt)
Figure 72: NPK exports of Vietnam, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 73: NPK prices at district 7, Saigon, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019, (VND/kg)
Figure 74: SA imports of Vietnam, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019
Figure 75: Shares of SA export markets to Vietnam in 2019 and 2018, (%)
Figure 76: SA import volume from China and Japan, Jan 2018 – Dec 2019, (thousand mt)
Figure 77: SA prices at Tran Xuan Soan market, Jan 2018 - Dec 2019, (VND/kg)
 
 
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Fertilizer demand growth by 2023/24, %
Table 2: Fertilizer export duties of China by HS code in 2016-2019
Table 3: Changes in VAT for fertilizers of China, 2015-2019
Table 4: Comparison on fertilizer export-import duties of China in 2017- 2019
Table 5: Preferential import duty rate and normal import duty rate applied to fertilizers from January 1, 2018
Table 6: Preferential import duties for fertilizers to perform CPTPP Agreement (attached to the Degree No. 57/2019/ND-CP dated June 26, 2019 of the government)
Table 7: Duty rates and time for application of formal safeguard measures with DAP/MAP products imported into Vietnam
Table 8: Hscode for fertilizer items applied with self-defense tax
Table 9: VAT duty rates applied for input materials of fertilizers (after amending policy)
Table 10: Water level at some hydropower plants nationwide as of July 25, 2019 vs. 2018
Table 11: Urea supply-demand balance in 2019 vs. 2018 (mt) 
Table 12: Urea supply-demand balance of Vietnam by month in 2019, mt 
Table 13: Urea supply-demand balance of Vietnam in 2020 vs. 2019, mt 
Table 14: Urea supply-demand balance of Vietnam by month in 2020, mt 
Table 15: DAP supply-demand balance of Vietnam in 2019 vs. the same period of 2018, mt 
Table 16: DAP supply-demand balance of Vietnam by month in 2019, mt 
Table 17: DAP supply-demand balance of Vietnam in 2020 vs. the same period of 2019, mt 
Table 18: DAP supply-demand balance of Vietnam by month in 2020, mt 
Table 19: NPK supply-demand balance of Vietnam in 2019 vs. the same period of 2018, mt 
Table 20: NPK supply-demand balance of Vietnam by month in 2019, mt 
Table 21: NPK supply-demand balance of Vietnam in 2020 vs. the same period of 2019, mt 
Table 22: NPK supply-demand balance of Vietnam by month in 2020, mt 
Table 23: Estimated fertilizer demand for rice by region in winter-spring crop season 2019 in Mekong River Delta provinces, thousand mt
Table 24: Winter-spring rice production plan 2019-2020 and compared to 2018-2019
Table 25: Estimated fertilizer demand for rice by region in summer-fall crop season 2019 in Mekong River Delta provinces, thousand mt
Table 26: Summer-fall rice production plan 2019 and compared to 2018
Table 27: Plan on transferring crops on rice cultivated area, 2019-2020, area (ha)
Table 28: Estimated fertilizer demand for rice by region in winter-spring crop season 2018-2019 in Mekong River Delta provinces, thousand mt
Table 29: Production index of chemical and chemical product manufacturing industry in Dec 2019, %
Table 30: Consumption index of chemical and chemical product manufacturing industry in Dec 2019, %
Table 31: Production index of chemical and chemical product manufacturing industry in Dec 2019, %
Table 32: Fertilizer imports of Vietnam by type in 2019 (thousand mt) and % changes vs. 2018
Table 33: Fertilizer import value of Vietnam by type in 2019 (million $) and % changes vs. 2018
Table 34: Top 10 fertilizer export markets to Vietnam in 2019 vs. 2018
Table 35: Share of top 10 fertilizer export markets to Vietnam in 2019 (by import volume), (million mt)
Table 36: Changes in positions of top 10 fertilizer export markets to Vietnam in 2019 (by import volume), (million mt)
Table 37: Fertilizer imports from China in 2019 and changes compared to 2018
Table 38: Fertilizer imports from Russian Federation in 2019 and changes vs. 2018
Table 39: Fertilizer imports of top 20 enterprises of Vietnam in 2019
Table 40: Dominant share of top 10 fertilizer importing enterprises (by import volume), (%)
Table 41: Changes in positions of top 10 fertilizer importing enterprises (by import volume)
Table 42: Urea imports by market of top 10 enterprises in 2019
Table 43: DAP imports shares of top 10 enterprises in 2019
Table 44: DAP imports by market of top 10 enterprises of Vietnam in 2019
Table 45: Potash imports shares of top 10 enterprises in 2019
Table 46: Potash imports by market of top 10 enterprises in 2019
Table 47: SA imports shares of top 10 enterprises in 2019
Table 48: SA imports by market of top 10 enterprises of Vietnam in 2019
Table 49: NPK imports shares of top 10 enterprises in 2019
Table 50: NPK imports by market of top 10 enterprises in 2019
Table 51: Fertilizer volume and value temporarily imported for reexports in 2019 vs. 2018
Table 52: Fertilizer volume imported for re-exports of Vietnam by type in 2019 (thousand mt) and % changes vs. 2018
Table 53: Fertilizer value imported for reexports of Vietnam by type in 2019 (million $) and % changes vs. 2018
Table 54: Imports for re-exports of some types of fertilizers of Vietnam by market in 2019
Table 55: Imports for re-exports of some types of fertilizers of Vietnam by exporting enterprise in 2019
Table 56: Fertilizer export volume of Vietnam in 2019 (mt) and % changes vs. 2018
Table 57: Fertilizer export value of Vietnam by type in 2019 (million $) and % changes vs. 2018
Table 58: Top 20 fertilizer export markets of Vietnam in 2019 and changes compared to 2018
Table 59: Top 10 fertilizer exporting enterprises in 2019 and % changes vs. 2018
Table 60: Fertilizer exports of Vietnam of top 10 enterprises by type in 2019
Table 61: Dominant share of top 10 fertilizer exporting enterprises
Table 62: Changes in positions of top 10 fertilizer exporting enterprises (by export volume)
Table 63: Urea exports of top 10 enterprises in 2019 and % changes vs. 2018
Table 64: Urea exports by market of top 10 enterprises of Vietnam in 2019
Table 65: DAP exports of top 10 enterprises in 2019 and % changes vs. 2018
Table 66: DAP exports by market of top 10 enterprises of Vietnam in 2019
Table 67: Potash exports of top 10 enterprises in 2019 and % changes vs. 2018
Table 68: Potash imports by market of some enterprises in 2019
Table 69: NPK exports of top 10 enterprises in 2019 and changes vs. 2018
Table 70: NPK exports by market of top 10 enterprises of Vietnam in 2019
Table 71: Maintenance plan of some urea manufacturing plants in the world in July - August 2019
Table 72: Comparison on average urea prices in some domestic markets of China, CNY/mt
Table 73: Urea import markets in 2019 and changes compared to 2018
Table 74: Urea exports to top markets in 2019 and % changes vs. 2018
Table 75: Prices of some biggest urea import contracts in volume on CFR basis of Vietnam from markets in 2019, ($/mt)
Table 76: Export urea prices of some biggest export contracts in 2019 ($/mt FOB)
Table 77: Details on DAP production reduction plan of China in quarter 3 of 2019
Table 78: DAP import markets in 2019 and changes compared to 2018
Table 79: DAP exports to top markets in 2019 and % changes vs. 2018
Table 80: Prices of some biggest DAP import contracts in volume on CFR basis of Vietnam from markets in 2019, ($/mt, CFR)
Table 81: Export DAP prices of some biggest export contracts in 2019 ($/mt, FOB)
Table 82: Some MOP contracts in the world market in 2019-2020
Table 83: New potash mines to be completed in and after 2017
Table 84: Comparison on MOP inventory at China’s ports on 20/06/19 compared to 2018, thousand mt
Table 85: Comparison on MOP 60% price list of Salt Lake in 2018-2019
Table 86: Potash import markets in 2019 and changes compared to 2018
Table 87: Potash exports to top markets in 2019 and % changes vs. 2018
Table 88: Import MOP prices on CFR basis of three biggest contracts in volume of some markets of Vietnam in 2019, ($/mt)
Table 89: Export potash prices of some biggest export contracts in volume to major markets in 2019 ($/mt, FOB)
Table 90: NPK import markets in 2019 and changes compared to 2018
Table 91: NPK exports to top markets in 2019 and % changes vs. 2018
Table 92: Import NPK prices from Russian Federation and China on CFR basis of three biggest contracts in volume in 2019, ($/mt)
Table 93: Export NPK prices in biggest contracts in volume to Cambodia ($/mt CIF) in 2019 
Table 94: SA import structure of Vietnam from markets in 2019 and changes compared to 2018, (%)
Table 95: Import SA prices on CFR basis of three biggest contracts in volume from China in 2019 of Vietnam, ($/mt)
Table 96: Update on policies of the fertilizer industry in 2018-2019

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