Vietnam Fertilizer Annual Report 2017 & Outlook for 2018

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Vietnam Fertilizer Annual Report 2017 & Outlook for 2018

Vietnam Market Analysis and Forecast Joint Stock Company is the leading provider of in-depth ANALYSES & FORECASTS on agro-commodity sectors. We would like to introduce Vietnam Fertilizer Annual Report 2017 & Outlook for 2018 (scheduled to be released in Jan 2018), with detailed contents as follows:

TABLE CONTENTS
TABLE CONTENTS
LIST OF FIGURES
LIST OF TABLES
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
PART 1: WORLD FERTILIZER SUPPLY-DEMAND IN 2017 AND OUTLOOK
1. World agro-commodity market in 2017
2. World fertilizer supply-demand
3. World fertilizer supply
4. World fertilizer supply – demand balance
5. Outlook on world fertilizer market 2018
5.1. Outlook on N and urea market
5.2. Outlook on phosphate market
5.3. Outlook on potash market
PART 2: EXPORT DUTY POLICY OF CHINA IN 2017 AND OUTLOOK
PART 3: VIETNAM FERTILIZER SUPPLY-DEMAND IN 2017 AND OUTLOOK
1. Vietnam's urea supply-demand in 2017 and outlook for 2018
1.1. Urea supply-demand of Vietnam in 2017
1.2. Urea supply-demand of Vietnam in 2018
2. Vietnam's DAP supply-demand in 2017 and outlook for 2018
2.1. DAP supply-demand of Vietnam in 2017
2.2. DAP supply-demand of Vietnam in 2018
3. Vietnam's NPK supply-demand in 2017 and outlook for 2018
3.1. NPK supply-demand of Vietnam in 2017
3.2. NPK supply-demand of Vietnam in 2018
PART 4: FERTILIZER DEMAND FOR RICE IN MEKONG RIVER DELTA
PART 5: VIETNAM'S PRODUCTION - CONSUMPTION - INVENTORY - IMPORTS - EXPORTS OF FERTILIZERS
I. Fertilizer production, consumption and inventory in 2017
1. Vietnam's fertilizer production in 2017
2. Fertilizer production and consumption indexes in 2017
3. Fertilizer inventory index in 2017
II. Fertilizer imports of Vietnam
1. Total fertilizer imports of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
2. Fertilizer imports by market in the first 10 months of 2017
2.1. Fertilizer import structure of Vietnam by market in the first 10 months of 2017
2.2. Dominant share of top 10 fertilizer exporting markets to Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
2.3. Changes in positions of top 10 fertilizer exporting markets to Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
2.4. Fertilizer imports from key markets in the first 10 months of 2017 
2.4.1. Fertilizer imports from China in the first 10 months of 2017
2.4.2. Fertilizer imports from Russian Federation in the first 10 months of 2017
PART 6: CROSS-BORDER FERTILIZER IMPORTS FROM CHINA IN THE FIRST 10 MONTHS OF 2017
PART 7: FERTILIZER EXPORTS OF VIETNAM
1. Total fertilizer export volume and value of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
1.1 Temporarily imports for re-exports
1.2 Exports of domestically-produced fertilizers
2. Vietnam's fertilizer exports by type
3. Vietnam's fertilizer exports of by market
PART 8: FERTILIZER IMPORTING-EXPORTING ENTERPRISES OF VIETNAM
I. Fertilizer importing enterprises of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
1. Quantity of enterprises importing fertilizers in the first 10 months of 2017
2. Dominant share of top 10 fertilizer importing enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017
3. Changes in positions of top 10 fertilizer importing enterprises markets in in the first 10 months of 2017
4. Top 10 urea importing enterprises of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
5. Top 10 DAP importing enterprises of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
6. Top 10 potash importing enterprises of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
7. Top 10 SA importing enterprises of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
8. Top 10 NPK importing enterprises of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
II. Fertilizer exporting enterprises of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
1. Quantity of enterprises exporting fertilizers in the first 10 months of 2017
2. Dominant share of top 10 fertilizer exporting enterprises
3. Changes in positions of top 10 fertilizer exporting enterprises markets in the first 10 months of 2017
4. Top 10 urea exporting enterprises
5. Top 10 DAP exporting enterprises
6. Top 10 Potash exporting enterprises
7. Top 10 NPK exporting enterprises
PART 9: WORLD, CHINA AND VIETNAM UREA MARKETS AND OUTLOOK
I. World urea market in 2017
II. Chinese urea market in 2017
1. Urea exports of China in 2017
2. Domestic and export urea prices of China in 2017
2.1. Domestic urea prices of China in 2017
2.2. Export prices in 2017
III. Vietnam urea market: production, imports, exports and prices
1. Urea production of Vietnam in first 10 months of 2017
2. Urea imports of Vietnam
2.1. Total urea import volume and value of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
2.2. Urea import markets in the first 10 months of 2017
3. Urea exports of Vietnam
3.1. Total urea export volume and value of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
3.2. Urea export markets of Vietnam
4. Import, export and transaction urea prices in domestic market of Vietnam
4.1. Import urea prices
4.2. Urea transaction prices in domestic market in the first 10 months of 2017
4.3. Export urea price
PART 10: WORLD, CHINA AND VIETNAM DAP MARKETS AND OUTLOOK
I. World DAP market
II. China DAP market
1. DAP production and exports of China
2. Domestic and export DAP prices of China
2.1. Domestic prices in 2017
2.2. Export prices in 2017
III. Vietnam DAP market: production, imports, exports and prices
1. DAP production of Vietnam
2. DAP imports of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
2.1.  Total DAP import volume and value of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
2.2. DAP import markets in the first 10 months of 2017
3. DAP exports of Vietnam
3.1. Total DAP export volume and value of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
3.2. DAP export markets of Vietnam
4. Import, export and transaction DAP prices in domestic market of Vietnam
4.1. Import DAP prices
4.2. DAP transaction prices in domestic market in the first 10 months of 2017
4.3. Export DAP prices
PART 11: NPK MARKET
1. NPK production of Vietnam
2. NPK imports of Vietnam
2.1. Total NPK import volume and value of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
2.2. NPK import markets in the first 10 months of 2017
3. NPK exports of Vietnam
3.1. Total NPK export volume and value of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
3.2. NPK export markets of Vietnam
4. Import, export and transaction NPK prices in domestic market of Vietnam
4.1. Import NPK prices
4.2. NPK transaction prices in domestic markets in the first 10 months of 2017
4.3. Export NPK prices
PART 12: POTASH MARKET
1. Total potash import volume and value of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
2. Potash import markets 
3. Potash exports of Vietnam
3.1. Total potash export volume and value of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
3.2. Potash export markets of Vietnam
4. Import, export and transaction potash prices in domestic market of Vietnam
4.1. World potash prices
4.2. Import potash prices of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
4.3. Potash transaction prices in domestic market in the first 10 months of 2017
4.4. Export potash prices of Vietnam
PART 13: SA MARKET
1. Total SA import volume and value of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
2. SA import markets in the first 10 months of 2017
3. Import, export and transaction SA prices in domestic market of Vietnam
3.1. SA import markets in the first 10 months of 2017
3.2. SA transaction prices in domestic markets in the first 10 months of 2017
PART 14: VESSEL INFORMATION IN 2017 AT SAIGON, QUY NHON AND HAI PHONG PORTS
PART 15: UPDATED POLICY DOCUMENTS ON FERTILIER IN 2017
PART 16: LIST OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS IN FERTILIZER INDUSTRY IN 2017-2030 PERIOD (CAPACITY, INVESTED CAPITAL, TIME OF INVESTMENT)
 
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: World agro-commodity index, 2010 – 2025 (2010 = 100) 
Figure 2: Brent IPE crude oil prices, $/barrel, Jan 2015 – Oct 2017
Figure 3: Global GDP growth, 2007 – 2017, (%)
Figure 4: World fertilizer demand by nutrient in each crop year, 2013-2018, (million mt) 
Figure 5: World fertilizer supply by nutrient, 2013-2018 (million mt) 
Figure 6: Urea prices (Black Sea, Bulk, Spot, Primarily Yuzhnyy, FOB), 2013 – Q3/2017 – forecast by 2025, ($/mt) 
Figure 7: Urea production capacity by region in the world, 2010-2019, (thousand mt) 
Figure 8: DAP prices (Bulk, Spot, US Gulf, FOB), 2013 – Q3/2017 – forecast by 2025, ($/mt) 
Figure 9: Potassium chloride prices (Spot, Vancouver, FOB), 2013 – Q3/2017 – forecast by 2025, ($/mt) 
Figure 10: MOP production capacity by region in the world, 2010-2019, (thousand mt) 
Figure 11: US$/VND exchange rate of Vietcombank (US$/VND) 
Figure 12: US$/CNY exchange rate in 2015-2017
Figure 13: Correlation between agro-commodity prices (rice, pepper, coffee, rubber) with domestic urea prices, (VND/kg) 
Figure 14: Correlation between agro-commodity prices (rice, pepper, coffee, rubber) with domestic DAP prices, (VND/kg) 
Figure 15: Fertilizer production of Vietnam, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, (thousand mt) 
Figure 16: Fertilizer imports of Vietnam, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017
Figure 17: Fertilizer import structure of Vietnam by type in the first 10 months of 2017 and 2016, (%)
Figure 18: Fertilizer import market structure of Vietnam by volume in the first 10 motnhs of 2017 and 2016, (%)
Figure 19: Fertilizer import volume and value of Vietnam from China, Jan 2016 – Otc 2017
Figure 20: Fertilizer import volume structure from China by type in the first 10 months of 2017, (%)
Figure 21: Fertilizer import volume and value of Vietnam from Russian Federation, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017
Figure 22: Fertilizer import volume from Russian Federation by month, Jan 2016 – Oct 2017, (mt) 
Figure 23: Fertilizer exports of Vietnam, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017
Figure 24: Fertilizer export volume structure by type in the first 10 months of 2017 and 2016, (%)
Figure 25: Urea imports of top 10 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017 compared to the first 10 months of 2016, (thousand mt) 
Figure 26: Urea import shares of top 10 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017, (%)
Figure 27: DAP import shares of top 10 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017, (%)
Figure 28: Potash import shares of top 10 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017, (%)
Figure 29: SA import shares of top 10 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017, (%)
Figure 30: NPK import shares of top 10 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017, (%)
Figure 31: Average urea prices by month in some regions, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, ($/mt, FOB) 
Figure 32: Urea exports of China, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017
Figure 33: Urea prices at plants in China, Jan 2015 - Dec 2016, (CNY/mt) Error! Bookmark not defined.
Figure 34: Export prilled urea prices at plants in China, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, ($/mt FOB) 
Figure 35: Urea production of Vietnam (Vinachem+PVCCo), Jan 2016 - Oct 20176, (mt) 
Figure 36: Urea imports, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017
Figure 37: Shares of urea export markets to Vietnam in 2015 - 2017, (%)
Figure 38: Urea import volume from China, Indonesia and Malaysia, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, (thousand mt) 
Figure 39: Urea export volume and value, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017
Figure 40: Prices of Phu My urea and Ca Mau urea at Tran Xuan Soan market, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, (VND/kg) 
Figure 41: Prices of Phu My urea sold by first-class agents to second-class agents in Quy Nhon and Da Nang, (VND/kg) 
Figure 42: DAP prices in some regions, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, ($/mt FOB) 
Figure 43: DAP exports of China, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017
Figure 44: DAP production prices of China, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, (CNY/mt) 
Figure 45: Export DAP prices of China, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, ($/mt FOB) 
Figure 46: DAP production of Vinachem, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, (thousand mt) 
Figure 47: DAP imports of Vietnam by month, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017
Figure 48: Shares of DAP export markets to Vietnam in 2016 - 2017, (%)
Figure 49: DAP import volume from China, Russian Federation and Korea Republic, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, (thousand mt) 
Figure 50: Average DAP export volume and value of Vietnam by month, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017
Figure 51: DAP prices at Tran Xuan Soan market, Jan 2016 - Oct 20176, (VND/kg)
Figure 52: NPK production of Vietnam, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017 (thousand mt) 
Figure 53: NPK export of Vietnam, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017
Figure 54: Shares of NPK export markets to Vietnam in 2016 - 2017, (%)
Figure 55: NPK import volume from Russian Federation, China and Korea Republic, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, (thousand mt) 
Figure 56: NPK export volume and value of Vietnam, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017
Figure 57: NPK prices at Tran Xuan Soan market, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, (VND/kg) 
Figure 58: Potash imports of Vietnam, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017
Figure 59: Shares of potash export markets to Vietnam in 2016 - 2017, (%) Error! Bookmark not defined.
Figure 60: Potash import volume from Lithuania, Canada and Russian Federation, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, (thousand mt) 
Figure 61: Potash exports of Vietnam, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017
Figure 62: MOP prices in some regions, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017 ($/mt, FOB) 
Figure 63: Prices of Canadian potash and Israeli potash in Tran Xuan Soan, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, (VND/kg) 
Figure 64: SA imports of Vietnam, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017
Figure 65: Shares of DAP export markets to Vietnam in 2016 - 2017, (%)
Figure 66: SA import volume from China and Japan, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, (thousand mt) 
Figure 67: Japanese SA prices at Tran Xuan Soan Market and Quy Nhon, Jan 2016 - Oct 2017, (VND/kg) 
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: World fertilizer supply-demand balance by nutrient in 2017-2018, (million mt) 
Table 2: World urea supply-demand balance and balancing probability, 2012 – 2018, (million mt) 
Table 3: World Phosphoric Acid supply-demand balance and balancing probability, 2012 – 2018, (million mt) 
Table 4: World potash supply-demand balance and balancing probability, 2012 – 2018, (million mt) 
Table 5: Fertilizer export duties of China by HS code in 2018
Table 6: Output and market shares of some types of fertilizers of China in 2017
Table 7: Export volume and market shares of some types of fertilizers of China in 2017
Table 8: Urea supply-demand balance in 2017, thousand mt 
Table 9: Urea supply-demand balance by month in 2017, thousand mt 
Table 10: Urea supply-demand balance in 2018, thousand mt 
Table 11: Urea supply-demand balance by month in 2018, thousand mt 
Table 12: DAP supply-demand balance in 2017, thousand mt 
Table 13: DAP supply-demand balance by month in 2017, thousand mt 
Table 14: DAP supply-demand balance in 2018, thousand mt 
Table 15: DAP supply-demand balance by month in 2018, thousand mt 
Table 16: NPK supply-demand in 2017, (thousand mt) 
Table 17: NPK supply-demand balance by month in 2017, (thousand mt) 
Table 18: NPK supply-demand in 2018, (thousand mt) 
Table 19: NPK supply-demand balance by month in 2018, (thousand mt) 
Table 20: Urea demand for rice by region and season in 2017-2018, (thousand mt) 
Table 21: DAP demand for rice by region and season in 2017-2018, (thousand mt) 
Table 22: Potash demand for rice by region and season in 2017-2018, (thousand mt) 
Table 23: NPK (16-16-8) demand for rice by region and season in 2017-2018, (thousand mt) 
Table 24: Fertilizer use for production of 1 ha of rice, (kg/ha) 
Table 25: Rice production plan nationwide in 2018
Table 26: Fertilizer production of Vietnam by type in the first 10 months of 2017, (thousand mt) 
Table 27: Consumption index of chemical sector in Nov and first 10 months of 2017 compared to the same period of 2016 (%)
Table 28: Production index of chemical and chemical product manufacturing industry in the first 10 months of 2017 compared to 2016, (%)
Table 29: Production index of chemical and chemical product manufacturing industry in the first 10 months of 2017, (%)
Table 30: Fertilizer import structure of Vietnam by type in the first 10 months of 2017 and changes compared to 2016
Table 31: Top 10 fertilizer export markets to Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017 vs. 2016
Table 32: Top 10 fertilizer export markets to Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017 (by import volume), (million mt) 
Table 33: Changes in positions of top 10 fertilizer export markets to Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017 (by import volume), (million mt) 
Table 34: Import volume and value of fertilizers from China in the first 10 months of 2017 and changes vs. 2016
Table 35: Import volume and value of fertilizers from Russian Federation in the first 10 months of 2017 and changes vs. 2016
Table 36: Data on fertilizer imports via official channel to Lao Cai, Lang Son, Quang Ninh, Cao Bang, Ha Giang (except for railway channel), (thousand mt) 
Table 37: Data on fertilizer imports via unofficial channel to Lao Cai, Lang Son, Quang Ninh, Cao Bang, Ha Giang (except for railway channel), (thousand mt) 
Table 38: Revised total imports (via official + unofficial channels) at Northern border gates (except for railway channel) 
Table 39: Update on imports as of 12/30/2017 (mt) 
Table 40: Fertilizer volume and value temporarily imported for reexported in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 41: Fertilizer volume and value temporarily imported for reexported by type in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 42: Fertilizer volume and value temporarily imported for reexported by some types and markets
Table 43: Fertilizer temporary imports for reexports by some types and enterprises
Table 44: Fertilizer exports of Vietnam by type in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 45: Top 20 fertilizer export markets of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017 and changes compared to 2016
Table 46: Fertilizer import volume and value of top 20 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 47: Dominant share of top 10 fertilizer importing enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017 (by import volume), (%)
Table 48: Changes in positions of top 10 fertilizer importing enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017 (by import volume) 
Table 49: Urea imports of top 20 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 50: DAP imports of top 20 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 51: Potash imports shares of top 10 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 52: SA imports of top 10 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 53: NPK imports of top 10 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 54: Top 20 fertilizer exporting enterprises of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 55: Fertilizer export types of top 10 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 56: Dominant share of top 10 fertilizer exporting enterprises, (%)
Table 57: Changes in positions of top 10 fertilizer exporting enterprises (by export volume) 
Table 58: Urea exports of top 10 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 59: Urea exports of some enterprises by market in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 60: DAP exports of top 10 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 61: DAP exports of some enterprises by market in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 62: Potash exports of top 10 enterprises in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 63: Potash exports of some enterprises by market in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 64: NPK exports of top 10 enterprises in 2 the first 10 months of 2017
Table 65: NPK exports of some enterprises by market in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 66: Some urea manufacturing plant construction projects
Table 67: Urea import markets in the first 10 months of 2017 and changes compared to 2016
Table 68: Urea exports to biggest markets in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 69: Prices of three biggest urea import contracts in volume on CFR basis of Vietnam from markets in the first 10 months of 2017, ($/mt) 
Table 70: Average export urea prices of some biggest export contracts in the first 10 months of 2017 ($/mt CIF) 
Table 71: DAP import markets in the first 10 months of 2017 and changes compared to 2016
Table 72: DAP exports in the first 10 months of 2017 and changes compared to 2016
Table 73: Prices of three biggest DAP import contracts in volume on CFR basis of Vietnam from markets in the first 10 months of 2017, ($/mt) 
Table 74: Average export DAP prices of some biggest export contracts to Korea Republic in the first 10 months of 2017 ($/mt FOB) 
Table 75: NPK exports to biggest markets in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 76: Import NPK prices from Russian Federation and Korea Republic on CFR basis of three biggest contracts in volume in the first 10 months of 2017, ($/mt) 
Table 77: Export NPK prices in biggest contracts in volume to Cambodia ($/mt CIF) and Korea Republic ($/mt FOB) in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 78: Potash import markets in the first 10 months of 2017 and changes compared to 2016
Table 79: Potash exports to biggest markets in the first 10 months of 2017
Table 80: Import MOP prices on CFR basis of three biggest contracts in volume of some markets of Vietnam in the first 10 months of 2017, ($/mt) 
Table 81: Average export potash prices of some biggest export contracts in volume in b($/mt FOB) 
Table 82: SA import structure of Vietnam from markets in the first 10 months of 2017 and changes compared to 2016, (%)
Table 83: Import SA prices on CFR basis of three biggest contracts in volume from China in the first 10 months of 2017Vietnam, ($/mt) 
Table 84: DAP vessel information at Saigon port by month in the first 10 months of 2017, (mt) 
Table 85: Foreign import urea vessels at Saigon port by month in the first 10 months of 2017, (mt) 
Table 86: Potash vessel information at Saigon port by month in the first 10 months of 2017, (mt) 
Table 87: NPK vessel information at Saigon port by month in the first 10 months of 2017, (mt) 
Table 88: SA vessel information at Saigon port by month in the first 10 months of 2017, (mt) 
Table 89: DAP vessel information by owner at Saigon port by month in the first 10 months of 2017, (mt) 
Table 90: Urea vessel information by owner at Saigon port by month in the first 10 months of 2017, (mt)
Table 91: Potash vessel information by owner at Saigon port by month in the first 10 months of 2017, (mt) 
Table 92: NPK vessel information by owner at Saigon port by month in the first 10 months of 2017, (mt)
Table 93: SA vessel information by owner at Saigon port by month in the first 10 months of 2017, (mt) 
Table 94: Foreign import fertilizer vessels at Hai Phong port in the first 10 months of 2017, (mt) 
Table 95: Domestic import fertilizer vessels at Hai Phong port in the first 10 months of 2017, (mt) 
Table 96: Foreign export fertilizer vessels at Hai Phong port in the first 10 months of 2017, (mt) 
Table 97: Domestic export fertilizer vessels at Hai Phong port, (mt) 
Table 98: Updated policy documents on fertilizer in 2017
Table 99: List of investment projects of the fertilizer industry in 2015 – 2030 period (capacity, invested capital, time of investment) 
 
 
 
 

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