Vietnam Aquafeed Annual Report 2018 & Outlook for 2019
 

Vietnam Aquafeed Annual Report 2018 & Outlook for 2019

Vietnam Market Analysis and Forecast Joint Stock Company is the leading provider of in-depth ANALYSES & FORECASTS on agro-commodity sectors. We would like to introduce Vietnam Aquafeed Annual Report 2018 & Outlook for 2019 (scheduled to be released in Mar 2019), with detailed contents as follows:

TABLE OF CONTENTS

PART 1: WORLD AQUA-FEED MAKRET IN 2018 AND OUTLOOK FOR 2019        17

I. WORLD AQUA-FEED MARKET IN 2018         17

1. General situation     17

2. World top animal feed producing countries           17

II. OUTLOOK ON WORLD AQUA-FEED MARKET IN 2019   19

PART 2: OVERVIEW OF VIETNAM’S AQUA-FEED INDUSTRY IN 2018     22

I. PRODUCTION OF AQUA-FEED           22

1. By region    22

2. By type       23

II. PRODUCTION OF DOMESTIC FEED INGREDIENTS         24

1. Soymeal      24

2. Rice bran     25

3. Tapioca chips and tapioca residues 26

4. Fishmeal      28

5. Wheat bran  28

III. IMPORTED AQUA-FEED INGREDIENTS    29

1. Soymeal      30

2. Wheat          32

3. Tapioca chips          35

4. Protein meals (Fishmeal, bone meal, squid liver powder, poultry meal, hydrolyzed feather meal and shrimp meal)   37

5. Wheat bran and rice bran    39

IV. SUPPLY OF DOMESTIC AND IMPORTED AQUA-FEED INGREDIENTS          41

V. IMPORT PRICES AND DOMESTIC PRICES  42

1. Prices of imported aqua-feed ingredients   42

2. Import prices and domestic prices of some major feed ingredients           44

2.1. Soymeal   44

2.2. Feed wheat          47

2.3. Tapioca chips and rice bran          49

2.4. Fishmeal, bone meal         50

VI. SUPPLY-DEMAND BALANCE IN 2018        52

1. Aqua-feed supply-demand balance            52

1.1. Fish feed  52

1.2. Shrimp feed         54

2. Feed ingredient supply-demand balance    56

2.1. Soymeal   56

2.2. Tapioca chips       58

2.3. Feed wheat          58

VII. FACTORS AFFECTING AQUA-FEED AND AQUA-FEED INGREDIENT MARKET OF VIETNAM IN 2018           59

1. The US-China trade war has caused world soymeal prices to plunge        59

2. The soared US$/VND exchange rate has raised import costs of feed ingredients.            61

3. The soared pangasius prices encourage raisers and companies to raise the aquaculture area, driving up the demand for pangasius feed     61

PART 3: OUTLOOK ON VIETNAM’S AQUA-FEED SECTOR IN 2019           63

I. OUTLOOK ON PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION OF AQUA-FEED   63

1. Fish feed     63

2. Shrimp feed 64

II. OUTLOOK ON PRICES OF FEED INGREDIENTS IN 2019 65

1. World prices in 2018 and outlook on supply-demand in 2019       65

1.1. Soybeans, soymeal           65

1.1.1. World supply-demand and prices in 2018        65

1.1.2. Outlook on supply-demand in 2019     70

1.2. Wheat       70

1.2.1. World supply-demand and prices in 2018        70

1.2.2. Outlook on supply-demand in 2019     73

1.3. Fishmeal   74

1.4.2. Outlook on fishmeal supply-demand in 2019   76

III. OUTLOOK ON SUPPLY AND PRICES OF DOMESTIC FEED INGREDIENTS  77

1. Tapioca chips          77

2. Soymeal      79

3. Feed wheat 80

PART 4: AQUA-FEED ENTERPRISES IN 2018   81

I. IMPORTS OF AQUA-FEED INGREDIENTS BY ENTERPRISE IN 2018      81

1. The South    83

1.1. Production enterprises     83

1.2. Commercial enterprises    88

2. The North    92

2.1. Production enterprises     92

2.2. Commercial enterprises    98

II. IMPORTS OF AQUA-FEED INGREDIENTS OF SOME MAJOR PANGASIUS EXPORTING ENTERPRISES IN 2018       103

III. SUPPLIERS OF AQUA-FEED INGREDIENTS TO VIETNAM IN 2018     105

1. Soymeal      105

2. Feed wheat 106

APPENDIX    107

I. VESSELS CARRYING FEED INGREDIENTS AT SOUTHERN PORTS AND NORTHERN PORTS IN 2018    107

II. ANALYSIS ON SECTOR STRUCTURE           109

1. Aquafeed value chain of Vietnam  109

2. Distribution of aquaculture in Vietnam      111

3. Shrimp and fish crop season           115

III. CONCEPTS AND TERMS OF AQUA-FEED INDUSTRY    116

 

 

 

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Industrial aqua-feed production in 2017 (million tons)        19

Table 2: Industrial aqua-feed production of Vietnam in 2018 (thousand tons)         23

Table 3: Production of feed for fish and other aquatic species (crabs, frogs, clams, eels, etc.) of Vietnam in 2018 (thousand tons)           23

Table 4: Shrimp feed production of Vietnam in 2018 (thousand tons)          24

Table 5: Estimate on domestic soymeal supply in 2018 (thousand tons)       25

Table 6: Estimate on tapioca chip production of Vietnam in 2017/2018 and 2018/2019 (excluding tapioca chips imported through border gates)          27

Table 7: Estimate on domestic supply of fishmeal, trash fish and by-products of aquatic species in 2018 (thousand tons)           28

Table 8: Domestic wheat bran production in 2018 by the South and the North (thousand tons)      29

Table 9: Tapioca chip imports of Vietnam through border gates, 2017-2018 (ton)    36

Table 10: Total supply of domestic and imported aqua-feed ingredients in 2018 (thousand tons)   41

Table 11: Prices of feed ingredients imported to Northern ports in 2017 and 2018 (US$/ton, CNF)           42

Table 12: Prices of feed ingredients imported to Southern ports in 2017 and 2018 (US$/ton, CNF)           43

Table 13: Average import prices of soymeal to Vietnam of major markets, 2017-2018 (US$/ton CNF)      44

Table 14: Average prices of feed wheat imported to Northern ports and Southern ports, 2017-2018 (US$/ton, CNF)   48

Table 15: Demand for industrial fish feed by region in 2018 (thousand tons)           53

Table 16: Industrial fish feed supply-demand balance of Vietnam in 2018 (thousand tons):            53

Table 17: Industrial shrimp production by region, 2017-2018 (thousand tons)         54

Table 18: Demand for industrial shrimp feed by region in 2018 (thousand tons)      55

Table 19: Industrial shrimp feed supply-demand balance in 2018 (thousand tons)   56

Table 20: Soymeal exports by market in 2018 and compared to 2017 (thousand tons, %)    56

Table 21: Soymeal supply-demand balance of Vietnam in 2018 (thousand tons)      57

Table 22: Tapioca chip supply-demand balance in 2017 and 2018 (ton)        58

Table 23: Feed wheat supply-demand balance of Vietnam in 2018 (thousand tons) 58

Table 24: Estimate on demand for fish feed of Vietnam in 2019 (thousand tons)    63

Table 25: Demand for feed of black tiger shrimp and white-leg shrimp of Vietnam in 2019 (thousand tons)            64

Table 26: Global soybean production and consumption (million tons)          70

Table 27: Global soymeal production and consumption (million tons)          70

Table 28: Global wheat production and consumption (million tons)  74

Table 29: Global fishmeal production and consumption (million tons)          76

Table 30: Tapioca chip supply-demand of Vietnam in 2019 (ton)     78

Table 31: Soymeal supply-demand balance of Vietnam in 2019 (thousand tons)      79

Table 32: Feed wheat supply-demand balance of Vietnam in 2019 (thousand tons) 80

Table 33: Top 20 production enterprises importing aqua-feed ingredients in the South in 2018 (thousand tons, %)        83

Table 34: Top 20 production enterprises importing soymeal in the South in 2018 (thousand tons, %)         85

Table 35: Top 20 production enterprises importing feed wheat in the South in 2018 (thousand tons, %)    87

Table 36: Top 20 commercial enterprises importing aqua-feed ingredients in the South in 2018 (thousand tons, %)        88

Table 37: Top 20 commercial enterprises importing soymeal in the South in 2018 (thousand tons, %)         90

Table 38: Top commercial enterprises importing feed wheat in the South in 2018 (thousand tons, %)         91

Table 39: Top 20 production enterprises importing aqua-feed ingredients in the North in 2018 (thousand tons, %)        93

Table 40: Top 20 production enterprises importing soymeal in the North in 2018 (thousand tons, %)         95

Table 41: Top 20 production enterprises importing feed wheat in the North 2018 (thousand tons, %)        97

Table 42: Top 20 commercial enterprises importing aqua-feed ingredients in the North in 2018 (thousand tons, %)        99

Table 43: Top 20 commercial enterprises importing soymeal in the North in 2018 (thousand tons, %)         101

Table 44: Top commercial enterprises importing feed wheat in the North in 2018 (thousand tons, %)         102

Table 45: Top 20 pangasiu exporting enterprises in 2018 (thousand tons)     103

Table 46: Imports of aqua-feed ingredients of some major pangasius exporting enterprises in 2017 (ton)   104

Table 47: Imports of aqua-feed ingredients of some major pangasius exporting enterprises in 2018 (ton)   104

Table 48: Top 20 soymeal suppliers to Vietnam in 2018 (thousand tons)      105

Table 49: Top 20 feed wheat suppliers to Vietnam in 2018 (thousand tons) 106

Table 50: Soymeal volume (bulk) shipped to Vung Tau port in 2018 (ton)   107

Table 51: Soymeal volume (bulk) shipped to Cai Lan port in 2018 (ton)       107

Table 52: Imports of aqua-feed ingredients in 2018 (ton)      110

Table 53: Imports of aqua-feed ingredients in 2018 (US$)    111

Table 54: Shrimp crop season 115

Table 55: Fish crop season      116

Table 56: Common concepts and terms          116

 

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: World feed production in 2017 (million tons)         17

Figure 2: Feed production by market, 2016-2017 (million tons)        18

Figure 3: Industrial aqua-feed production of Vietnam in 2018 (thousand tons)        22

Figure 4: Industrial aqua-feed production of Vietnam, 2016-2018 (thousand tons) 22

Figure 5: Paddy production of Vietnam, 2017-2018 (thousand tons)           26

Figure 6: Rice bran production of Vietnam by crop, 2017-2018 (thousand tons)      26

Figure 7: Domestic tapioca residue production, 2017-2018 (thousand tons) 27

Figure 8: Imports of feed wheat and food wheat of Vietnam, 2017-2018 (thousand tons)  28

Figure 9: Imports of aqua-feed and aqua-feed ingredients of Vietnam in 2018 and compared to 2017 (thousand tons)    29

Figure 10: Soymeal imports of Vietnam, 2015-2018 (thousand tons)            30

Figure 11: Soymeal imports to Vietnam by month, 2017-2018 (thousand tons)        31

Figure 12: Soymeal imports to Vietnam by region, 2017-2018 (thousand tons)        31

Figure 13: Soymeal imports to Vietnam by market in 2018 and compared to 2017 (thousand tons)            32

Figure 14: Feed wheat imports of Vietnam, 2015-2018 (thousand tons)       33

Figure 15: Feed wheat imports by month, 2017-2018 (ton)   33

Figure 16: Wheat imports to Vietnam by region, 2017-2018 (thousand tons)           34

Figure 17: Feed wheat imports to Vietnam by market in 2018 and compared to 2017 (thousand tons)       35

Figure 18: Fishmeal imports to Vietnam, 2017-2018 (thousand tons)           37

Figure 19: Bone meal imports to Vietnam, 2017-2018 (thousand tons)         38

Figure 20: Fishmeal imports to Vietnam by market in 2018 and compared to 2017 (thousand tons)            39

Figure 21: Bone meal imports to Vietnam by market in 2018 and compared to 2017 (thousand tons)         39

Figure 22: Wheat bran and rice bran imports of Vietnam, 2017-2018 (thousand tons)         40

Figure 23: Rice bran imports of Vietnam by region, 2017-2018 (thousand tons)      40

Figure 24: Wheat bran imports of Vietnam by region, 2017-2018 (thousand tons)   41

Figure 25: Supply of domestic and imported aqua-feed ingredients in 2018 (thousand tons)          42

Figure 26: Prices of soymeal imported to Vietnam ports by month, 2017-2018 (US$/ton)   45

Figure 27: Prices of soymeal sold at Northern ports and Southern ports (VND/kg)  46

Figure 28: Comparing actual import soymeal prices of commercial enterprises and transacted soymeal prices at Northern ports, 2017-2018 (VND/kg)            46

Figure 29: Comparing actual import soymeal prices of commercial enterprises and transacted soymeal prices at Southern ports, 2017-2018 (VND/kg)            47

Figure 30: Average import wheat prices by month, 2017-2018 (US$/ton CNF)       48

Figure 31: Feed wheat prices in the domestic market by month, 2017-2018 (VND/kg)       49

Figure 32: Domestic tapioca chip prices in 2018 (VND/kg)   50

Figure 33: Domestic rice bran prices, 2017-2018 (VND/kg)  50

Figure 34: Prices of domestic fishmeal offered to aqua-feed mills in Mekong River Delta, 2017-2018 (VND/kg            51

Figure 35: Prices of bone meal 50% at Hai Phong port and HCMC port (VND/kg) 51

Figure 36: Fish production of Vietnam, 2016-2018 (thousand tons) 52

Figure 37: Finn production by region, 2017-2018 (thousand tons)    52

Figure 38: Industrial shrimp production of Vietnam, 2017-2018 (thousand tons)     54

Figure 39: Comparing corn prices and soymeal prices before and after the US-China trade war starts (US$/ton)            60

Figure 40: Correlation between CBOT soymeal prices and import soymeal prices of Vietnam, 2017-2018 (US$/ton)        60

Figure 41: US$/VND exchange rate, 2017-2018 (VND)       61

Figure 42: Prices of material pangasius in Mekong River Delta, 2017-2018 (VND/kg)        62

Figure 43: World soybean production, 2013-2018 (million tons)       65

Figure 44: World top 5 soybean exporting countries in 2017/2018 and compared to the previous year (million tons)    66

Figure 45: World top 5 soybean import markets in 2017/2018 and compared to the previous year (million tons)            66

Figure 46: World soymeal production, 2013-2018 (million tons)       67

Figure 47: World top 5 soymeal exporting countries in 2017/2018 and compared to the previous year (million tons)    68

Figure 48: World top 5 soymeal import markets in 2017/2018 and compared to the previous year (million tons)            68

Figure 49: CBOT soybean prices, 2017-2018 (US$/ton)        69

Figure 50: CBOT soymeal prices, 2017-2018 (US$/ton)        69

Figure 51: World wheat production, 2013-2018 (million tons)          71

Figure 52: World top 5 wheat export markets in 2017/18 and compared to the previous year (million tons)            72

Figure 53: World top 5 wheat importing countries in 2017/18 and compared to the previous year (million tons)            72

Figure 54: CBOT wheat prices, 2017-2018    73

Figure 55: World fishmeal production, 2013-2018 (million tons)      74

Figure 56: World top 5 fishmeal export markets in 2017/18 and compared to the previous year (million tons)            75

Figure 57: World top 5 fishmeal import markets in 2017/18 and compared to the previous year (million tons)            75

Figure 58: Prices of Peruvian fishmeal, 2017-2018 (US$/ton)           76

Figure 59: Top 20 aqua-feed ingredient importing enterprises in 2017 (ton) 81

Figure 60: Top 20 aqua-feed ingredient importing enterprises in 2017 (ton) 82

Figure 61: Top 20 production enterprises importing aqua-feed ingredients in the South in 2018 (thousand tons)            83

Figure 62: Top 20 production enterprises importing soymeal in the South in 2018 (thousand tons) 84

Figure 63: Top 20 production enterprises importing feed wheat in the South in 2018 (thousand tons)        86

Figure 64: Top 20 commercial enterprises importing aqua-feed ingredients in the South in 2018 (thousand tons)            88

Figure 65: Top 20 commercial enterprises importing soymeal in the South in 2018 (thousand tons) 89

Figure 66: Top commercial enterprises importing feed wheat in the South in 2018 (thousand tons) 91

Figure 67: Top 20 production enterprises importing aqua-feed ingredients in the North in 2018 (thousand tons)            92

Figure 68: Top 20 production enterprises importing soymeal in the North in 2018 (thousand tons) 94

Figure 69: Top 20 production enterprises importing feed wheat in the North 2018 (thousand tons)            96

Figure 70: Top 20 commercial enterprises importing aqua-feed ingredients in the North in 2018 (thousand tons)            98

Figure 71: Top 20 commercial enterprises importing soymeal in the North in 2018 (thousand tons) 100

Figure 72: Top commercial enterprises importing feed wheat in the North 2018 (thousand tons)    102

Figure 73: Soymeal vessel being discharged at Vung Tau port in December 2018    108

Figure 74: Aquafeed value chain        109

Figure 75: Share of fish production farmed by region in Vietnam, 2016-2017 (%):  112

Figure 76: Share of shrimp production farmed by region in Vietnam, 2016-2017 (%):         113

Figure 77: Diagram of aquaculture and aquafeed mills in some regions nationwide 114

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